Category: Weekly Results

Week 14 – Ending a Season Overflowing with Frustration

Our last two picks, Baylor and Wisconsin, split. Baylor +17.5 covered the big spread easily at West Virginia. Conventional knowledge and the point spread said West Virginia would blow out a disillusioned Baylor team with an interim coach. Seems as though the quality … Continue reading

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Week 13 – Finishing Sideways

The record for Lucky Week 13 was 4-4. For this year it brings additional data for the year end analysis, nothing else. Michigan State continues to show a complete meltdown, embarrassed themselves as not able to cover a 12 point … Continue reading

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Week 12 – Inconsequential Futility

Week 12 would have been a ho-hum week in a normal year. However, a net one winner means nothing this late in the season. It puts us at a 40% winner for the season, the exact reverse of our preseason … Continue reading

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Week 11 – Surprise Normality

It took 11 weeks to see a result that approached normality. One of the reasons we created the algorithm was to eliminate conventional thinking and let the numbers forecast the outcome. The reasoning was the point spread, determined within the … Continue reading

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Week 10 – No Surprises Here

When we introduced the tag line “You’re Smart, Just Bet Against Ed”, we didn’t intend for it to be so overwhelmingly true. You would be rich this season if you had. The losing continued in a big way this week (1-8). For … Continue reading

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Week 9 – More of the Same

On the favorites side we lost 4 of 6. And like all of the weeks this year, it was easy to see the losses coming. In our letter we suspected Louisville was going to have a hard time at Virginia. They did, having … Continue reading

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Week 8 – Bumping Along Marking Time

Last week we commented that big favorites late in the season are suspect. San Diego State was a big favorite and covered against San Jose State, a team that has reverted to its previous losing history. Alabama covered for us … Continue reading

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Week 7 – Nothing to Get Excited About

The first half (7 weeks) of the season have resembled a train wreck in terms of wins and losses. This week was a net one winner but was statistically meaningless. Like every other week this season, the slate looked fairly … Continue reading

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Week 6 – Diving Even Deeper

When we published the tag line on our homepage “You’re Smart, Just Bet Against Ed” we didn’t have a clue that it would be true. Why it is true is what has become the signature issue of this college football … Continue reading

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Week 5 – Sunk

Here in the early part of the season we have patiently awaited for the algorithm to show signs of life. At this juncture it is clear there is a major force that has flipped the algorithm to exactly the reverse … Continue reading

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Week 4 – Drip Drip Drip

This year resembles water torture, except when a big blow is delivered. Once again, we got caught by a deterioration in the point spread.(from early week Newsletter date to final spread at game time). Akron would have pushed with 7 … Continue reading

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Week 3 – Unbelievable Unexplainable Unthinkable

Just when you think it can’t get any worse, you get kicked in the teeth when your down. We have been patiently waiting for the numbers to kick in and resemble the previous five years. The first 3 weeks are truly … Continue reading

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Week 2 – Snakebit

It all started Friday night with Syracuse. After giving up 35 quick points to Louisville they managed to bring the game back to a push late in the game. Then they simply laid down to allow Louisville to score 17 … Continue reading

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Week 1 – A Tough Opening Week to Watch

The start to this season brings to light a simple fact. Opening point spreads are pure conjecture as the media hypes teams that are unworthy of being heavily favored. In our case, Arkansas, Florida and Tennessee exhibited this fact. All … Continue reading

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Week 14 – An Almost Perfect Ending (2 Wins – 0 Losses – 1 Push)

SEASON COMMENTS Season End Results: Record – 74 Wins – 51 Losses (59.2%) Total Number of published picks – 125 (Lots of action, an approx avg of 9 per week) Solid winning weeks – 7 Number of weeks broke even … Continue reading

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