A normal week is the exception this year. And it took eleven weeks for a normal winning week. All 3 of last week’s underdogs covered, 2 of them winning outright. On the favorites side we had 5 cover as big double digit favorites late in the season. The algorithm functioned as advertised, albeit for one week out of eleven.
Next up we have a balanced list. Five favorites and four underdogs. Looking at the list from a conventional point of view doesn’t yield anything that clearly flashes brilliantly.
We started this project based on 100% complete transparency. And so we shall continue each week, regardless of performance.
Here is how it shapes up for the 12th week of the season:
Team # Favorite Picks: (FBS vs FBS teams)
338 Texas A&M -27.5 over UTSA
343 Middle TN -4 over Charlotte
417 Navy -7.5 over East Carolina
409 Penn State -28.0 over Rutgers
413 Air Force -10 over Hawaii
Team # Underdog Picks: (FBS vs FBS teams)
419 Florida +13.5 to cover LSU
400 Wake Forest +22.5 to cover against Clemson
353 New Mexico +4.5 to cover against Colorado State
369 Arizona +6.5 to cover against Oregon State
We use Covers.com as the source for compiling our won loss data. The final point spread at game time is the standard. Point spreads listed above are early week lines; however, very rarely will the algorithm indicate change or eliminate teams based on point spread movement.