The madness continues. Last week we were 1 Win 8 Losses, further evidence the algorithm is missing an extremely potent ingredient. Don’t misunderstand, we are dedicated to winning, but we recognized early something was severely out of sync. And smart investors cut recognized losses quickly, just as we did during Wee 3-4. This season is unexplainable at this time, from the algorithm point of view. And it can happen. Every pollster for the presidential election had the numbers within the equation correct, but their underlying assumptions for those numbers missed the main ingredient that caused such a major shift in forecasted results. With our algorithm this year, we are in exactly the same spot. A solid equation, just missing a major ingredient. And we will find those missing ingredients once the season is concluded.
Our list this week is again suspect from a conventional point of view. Texas is at home but West Virginia is a better team. Texas is not a good favorite. Penn State is on the road at Indiana riding a wave. But Indiana is a sleeper getting points at home. Look for a close game. Our Underdogs are horrible. Rice is not even competitive this year, look for Charlotte, and up and coming team, to play well at home.
We started this project based on 100% complete transparency. And so we shall continue each week, regardless of performance.
Here is how it shapes up for the 10th week of the season:
Team # Favorite Picks: (FBS vs FBS teams)
198 Texas -2 over West Virginia
178 Michigan State -14 over Rutgers
127 Penn State -6.5 over Indiana
193 Boise State -17.5 over Hawaii
190 UCLA -12 over Oregon State
154 Air Force -5.5 over Colorado State
Team # Underdog Picks: (FBS vs FBS teams)
147 Rice +10.5 to cover against Charlotte
129 Wake Forest +34.5 to cover against Louisville
187 USC +8.5 to cover against Washington
We use Covers.com as the source for compiling our won loss data. The final point spread at game time is the standard. Point spreads listed above are early week lines; however, very rarely will the algorithm indicate change or eliminate teams based on point spread movement.