Week 13 – Finishing Sideways

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The record for Lucky Week 13 was 4-4. For this year it brings additional data for the year end analysis, nothing else. Michigan State continues to show a complete meltdown, embarrassed themselves as not able to cover a 12 point spread. Same goes with Oregon, to the point they fired their coach. When you lose the cross state rivalry game to a sub-par Oregon State team after a miserable season then expect to be fired.Read More

Week 13 – Newsletter with predictions

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In a normal season last week would have been classified as a one win ho-hum occurrence. Weeks such as this would be normal while waiting for the big winning weeks to come about. Unfortunately, the very start of this season foretold disaster and it was relentless for the first 10 weeks. Like we have said since the 3rd week, the only importance to this season is to identify the reason for the complete 100% turnaroundRead More

Week 12 – Inconsequential Futility

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Week 12 would have been a ho-hum week in a normal year. However, a net one winner means nothing this late in the season. It puts us at a 40% winner for the season, the exact reverse of our preseason prediction. Air Force always a question mark as a favorite and losing the spread was not surprising. Texas A&M played down to UTSA in the breather game from the tough SEC West schedule, nothing surprisingRead More

Week 12 – Newsletter with predictions

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A normal week is the exception this year. And it took eleven weeks for a normal winning week. All 3 of last week’s underdogs covered, 2 of them winning outright. On the favorites side we had 5 cover as big double digit favorites late in the season. The algorithm functioned as advertised, albeit for one week out of eleven. Next up we have a balanced list. Five favorites and four underdogs. Looking at the listRead More

Week 11 – Surprise Normality

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It took 11 weeks to see a result that approached normality. One of the reasons we created the algorithm was to eliminate conventional thinking and let the numbers forecast the outcome. The reasoning was the point spread, determined within the betting marketplace, takes into account all the known data factors that are easily accessible to the betting public. Leading to the assumption that the big hotels in Las Vegas are built with the money conventionalRead More

Week 11 – Newsletter with predictions

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The madness continues.  Last week we were 1 Win 8 Losses, further evidence the algorithm is missing an extremely potent ingredient.  Don’t misunderstand, we are dedicated to winning, but we recognized early something was severely out of sync. And smart investors cut recognized losses quickly, just as we did during Wee 3-4. This season is unexplainable at this time, from the algorithm point of view.  And it can happen.  Every pollster for the presidential electionRead More

Week 10 – No Surprises Here

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When we introduced the tag line “You’re Smart, Just Bet Against Ed”, we didn’t intend for it to be so overwhelmingly true. You would be rich this season if you had. The losing continued in a big way this week (1-8). For us, we gave up on this being a winning season after Week 3 (0-7-1), when it was clear our algorithm was not in sync. At that time, we determined the importance of this season was toRead More

Week 10 – Newsletter with predictions

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Last week’s performance remains representative of this unexplainable season.  One thing we are getting good at as seeing the list, then being able to pick the winner based on conventional factors.  We thought all 3 underdogs were solid.  Navy failed to cover by 1 with Utah and Nebraska covering.  We would take 2 out of 3 anytime, and this came close to being 3 of 3.  We cautioned Louisville as a big favorite and guessRead More

Week 9 – More of the Same

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On the favorites side we lost 4 of 6. And like all of the weeks this year, it was easy to see the losses coming. In our letter we suspected Louisville was going to have a hard time at Virginia. They did, having to score a last second touchdown to keep from losing outright. Plus we saw Southern Miss as a team not worthy of giving points to anyone. They won but never threatened to cover. Texas A&M almost coveredRead More

Week 8 – Bumping Along Marking Time

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Last week we commented that big favorites late in the season are suspect. San Diego State was a big favorite and covered against San Jose State, a team that has reverted to its previous losing history. Alabama covered for us as a 18 point favorite, winning by 19. First time this year a point spread move (from 19.5 to 18) caused a win instead of a loss. But Ohio State was a 19.5 favorite andRead More