Week 9 – Newsletter with predictions

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Like last week and through the course of the year, the algorithm has picked a list top heavy with big spreads. Again, we have seen this before this year and cannot pinpoint why these suspicious picks come up with such regularity. East Carolina giving 7 points to Connecticut is really suspect. East Carolina shouldn’t give points to anyone. Louisville giving -33 on the road at Virginia is another suspect. Virginia is evolving as a defensiveRead More

Week 8 – Newsletter with predictions

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Once again, the algorithm has picked a list top heavy with big spreads.  We have seen this before this year and cannot pinpoint why these suspicious picks come up with such regularity.  Starting with San Diego St as a big -23.5 favorite over San Hose St.  San Diego St has motivation to win the game only.  Blowing them out means nothing to them.  The game plan could be to sit on a 2 touchdown leadRead More

Week 7 – Nothing to Get Excited About

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The first half (7 weeks) of the season have resembled a train wreck in terms of wins and losses. This week was a net one winner but was statistically meaningless. Like every other week this season, the slate looked fairly good early in the day but ended with 2 losses (Ohio State and Boise State) to finish 5-4. For conventional bettors the Ohio State bet, a 10 point favorite, was an easy call. Wisconsin beatRead More

Week 7 – Newsletter with predictions

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Last week was a confirmation of the previous 5 weeks.   The algorithm is locked dead on to losers in about the same range as the previous 4 years winners.  No 50-50 here.  Last week we stated were looking forward to a continuation of this striking losing trend.  Its severity in deviation from the previous 4 years should reveal itself clearly.  Our 2-5 record last week again confirmed there is a severe missing mathematical ingredient inRead More

Week 6 – Diving Even Deeper

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When we published the tag line on our homepage “You’re Smart, Just Bet Against Ed” we didn’t have a clue that it would be true. Why it is true is what has become the signature issue of this college football season. We gave up on making money this year two weeks ago, having arrived at the point where we gave up our winnings from last year. This is strictly about letting the season play out to haveRead More

Week 5 – Sunk

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Here in the early part of the season we have patiently awaited for the algorithm to show signs of life. At this juncture it is clear there is a major force that has flipped the algorithm to exactly the reverse of what was expected. This year is the exact reverse of the trends specified in the algorithm for the previous 4 years. And it is not the just a non-performance 50/50 or 45/55 split. It is 33%Read More

Week 6 – Newsletter with predictions

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We started this project based on 100% complete transparency.   And so we shall continue each week regardless of performance.  The change from here forward will be specific comments on games the algorithm has selected.  The specific comments will be directed at who should win based on a couple of other factors. The time to get better is now.  No time to sit and fret.   We were a net 23 games winner last year.   Right nowRead More