Week 14 “High % @ UWinCollege Selections

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How about 8 wins versus 3 losses with underdogs finally showing some life last week.  This season has been characterized by favorites covering at an abnormally high pace from a numbers viewpoint. Last week our favorites were our disappointment coming in at 2 wins versus 2 losses.  Tennessee failed to bring game and lost outright to a mediocre Vanderbilt team. And Temple lost outright to a miserable Connecticut.  Our underdogs covered 6 of 7 with notableRead More

Week 13 – A Big Winner. It’s how you finish that counts!

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Our first big week of the season and it came in Week 13.  How about 8 wins versus 3 losses with underdogs finally showing some life.  This season has been characterized by favorites covering at an abnormally high pace from a numbers viewpoint. Last week our favorites were our disappointment coming in at 2 wins versus 2 losses.  Tennessee failed to bring game and lost outright to a mediocre Vanderbilt team. And Temple lost outright toRead More

Week 13 “High %” @ UWinCollege Selections

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We started last week winning with two favorites, Northern Illinois on a Wednesday night and UCLA on a Friday night.  Georgia giving up the spread on a Hail Mary pass by Auburn was a clue as to how Saturday would shape up.  Our underdogs, consistent with the season, failed to perform.  Our usual suspects, Indiana, South Alabama, and California, are really bad teams and all failed to cover.  One thing you have to factor is lateRead More

Week 12 – Back to Ho Hum

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We started winning with two favorites, Northern Illinois on a Wednesday night and UCLA on a Friday night.  Georgia giving up the spread on a Hail Mary pass by Auburn was a clue as to how Saturday would shape up.  Our underdogs, consistent with the season, failed to perform.  Our usual suspects, Indiana, South Alabama, and California, are really bad teams and all failed to cover.  One thing you have to factor is late inRead More

Week 12 “High % @UWinCollege Selections

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We have a full slate (10) of high percentage selections heading into the final stages of the college football season.  There are 5 favorites.  Starting with Northern IL  at home as a -6 pt favorite over Ball State.  UCLA comes next as a -2.5 pt favorite over Washington, a team UCLA needs to beat to keep in the conversation for a decent bowl.  Washington is on the road and hasn’t played good teams very well, andRead More

Week 11 – Winning the Hard Way, “back door covers” all around.

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After the Friday night Louisville loss the week was in full jeopardy. Louisville, on a cold night, went through the motions to win 31-10 over a completely undermanned and confused Connecticut team. Who would have thought the Connecticut interim coach would start running out the clock on the opening kickoff, but run, run, run out the clock he did regardless of how many points he was down. We had Louisville scoring just 10 points afterRead More

Week 11 “High %” @UWinCollege Selections

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We are back to a limited number of selections (3) for Week 11.  Louisville is a –27.5 pt favorite over Connecticut, a team in complete disarray that was not that talented to begin with.  Louisville is still motivated for attention from the BCS bowl folks.  We like this situation.  Our two remaining selections, SMU and San Diego State are matched up against equals and we have the points in both.  Their opponents, Cincinatti and SanRead More

Week 10 – Disaster Averted, a small step backward.

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Week 10 had five selections based purely on the numbers and a couple of them were extremely bad from the git-go.  Conventional wisdom jumped right out of Medusa’s skull and told you Virginia was not competitive against Clemson, especially at +16.5 pts.  It should have been at least +32 or more as Clemson motivated to move up the charts after the Florida State debacle.  This example is living proof we have a numerical model weRead More