Week 4 – Dancing with the Devil

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Let’s get right to the heart of the matter. We have been dancing with the Devil (The House) and he has created a high intensity level. Really fun highs coupled with a bunch of disappointing lows. Remember, you can go to our website and look under Weekly Results to get a complete .pdf copy of each week’s picks and results. Read more on the is blog here or go here to download our final tallyRead More

Dancing with the Devil – Results (Season thru Week 4)

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Let’s get right to the heart of the matter.  We have been dancing with the Devil (The House) and he has created a high intensity level.  Really fun highs coupled with a bunch of disappointing lows. Recommendations on 66 point spread picks produced a record of 33 Wins and 33 Losses, all plays would have totaled $7,260 in exposed capital, with the result of being down the juice, or $330.  Remember, you can go toRead More

Here is how we account for our results.

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Some of our subscribers have asked how we compile the results of the recommendations made in our Weekly Analysis.  Here’s how we do it.  1) The Weekly Analysis is sent by email by Wednesday evening, prior to any Thursday night games. 2) We use Covers.com for source data.  No games are recommended that encompass a point spread of greater than 50 points. 3) Our results spreadsheet is based upon a $100 play.  Point spread winning playsRead More

Here comes Week 4 on the straight and narrow.

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This week we have recommendations on 8 teams giving points and 4 teams taking points.  Pay particular attention to Temple +9 and Ohio +3.5, MAC teams against the ACC and Big East.  These are solid recommendations.     Week 4 looks good, we think we will post some really interesting results this week.  Remember, watch the hook, work hard for the best point spreads.

Week 3 – The Confession

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“Guilty as charged”. Here are the actual results from Week 3. In the Point Spread category we are posting an 8-9 record, certainly a disappointment. But rest assured subscribers, this result is credited to your humble scrivener, someone who strayed from the basic tenants of play. Why would we select teams that do not meet the statistical criteria, causing 5 losses that should not have occurred versus 1 win that occurred unexpectedly? Because we triedRead More

LSU has us off to a winning start this week.

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In my Week 3 Analysis the pick was LSU straight up only if getting points.  We rode LSU to a winning Week 3 start in a ho-hum workmanlike game.  LSU usually has a hard time covering point spreads in this type of game but we knew they win them outright at a good clip.   Tonight we have another play before this weekends 15 point spread picks start teeing up.  Week 3 is off to a good start and my subscribers areRead More

Week 2 – It’s a Winner, We are Net Positive for the Year

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We bordered on having a real good week. We had a couple of teams vicitimized by their opponents scoring late to cover point spreads. Virginia Tech and Syracuse got lazy, scoring enough points to win but not even a thought toward the point spread. Minnesota’s coach went down in a seizure with Virginia allowing a score to cover the spread against them. Our point spread record (giving points) for Week 2 was 9-6. Our pointRead More

Week 3 Comments – Week 2 was a winner, net positive for both weeks.

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For all practical purposes Week 1 was a breakeven wildly fluctuating opening weekend. Week 2 was a solid winner, and we expect Week 3 to keep improving. We have 12 teams giving points and 7 teams taking points as high percentage recommendations for Week 3. Week 3 is shaping up nicely from a point spread viewpoint. We are on the positive side of the ledger and really expect to improve further this weekend.

8 out of 13 for the afternoon, winning is what it is all about.

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My previous blog gave 13 teams for the afternoon, 8 of which covered the point spread giving us a solid winning weekend. Two losers, Virginia and Connecticut, failed to cover by the slimmest of margins or we could have hit a home run. Virginia Tech and Syracuse got lazy, while Minnesota experienced their head coach having a seizure. For your free detailed analysis for Week 2 results visit our Contact Page and make sure andRead More

Off to an even start, the best yet to come.

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On the point spreads were are 2-2, winning Auburn with Missouri covering against Arizona State. We lost Oregon State +20.5 against Wisconsin and Toledo covered against Ohio State. Ohio State is a team in turmoil and tough to get a solid read, but we rely on situations. Our picks are founded in the knowledge that we believe the odds makers know the team is in turmoil and have adjusted the point spread accordingly. But inRead More

Tonight’s play and weekend comments.

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Take Missouri and the points.  They match up athletic wise extremely well while AZ State played a weak UC Davis team as a 37.5 point favorite.  Missouri plays passing teams well, they see a lot of them in the wide open Big 12 so take the points.  They are an excellent defensive team.  We have 17 picks giving points this weekend, and 5 picks taking points. Come see us at www.uwincollege.com.

Enhancing what you do best.

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Last night was a very good example of how we help you get better.  Its all about risk analysis.   Last week, Arizona played a very week Northern AZ team leading at home 14-10 at the half, then scoring 20 in the 3rd quarter to win 41-10, covering a 27.5 spread.  But the signs for Arizona looking like an average or below average team were there.  Looking at Arizona, you knew they weren’t going to win thisRead More

Week 1 – September 1 to 5

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Check our Sample page to see we picked Utah State and Mississippi State over a month ago, both winners! Our first week was characterized by a large number of mismatches, and surfacing of different coaching philosophies. The week had some unpredictability to it, as one coach withheld a starting quarterback along with a couple of starting quarterbacks going down early in their games.  We saw TCU, the leading defensive team in the nation 5 outRead More

What you don’t play can be very important.

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We did not play the Wisconsin/UNLV game for a reason.  Our research showed Wisconsin covered the spread only 40% of the time in this situation, plus the home team and favorites bias took the spread even higher. UNLV had a limited history in this situation, but some success to include covering the spread against Wisconsin by 1/2 point last year.  Final score this year was 51-17, with UNLV covering the 36 point spread by 2, viaRead More

Heading to cash my tickets after a 2-0 start.

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When you play the percentages with us you put yourself in a position to win.  Mississippi State was no surprise, beating Memphis handily and really no sweat.  Syracuse at -6.5 was a thriller.   At the half we were beat handily, but you have to count the whole game and we covered in overtime in an exciting finish giving us a great start for the weekend.  We still have 9 games left for the weekend andRead More